content top

We Don’t Need Their Scum

We Don’t Need Their Scum

or:   How I learned to stop worrying and love the bounty.             *****   This is actually a repost of a blog I made earlier this year that somehow got lost in the innerwebz during the transition to teammoshman.com.  Rather than just do a simple repost of the initial blog, I decided to try something a little different with it.   So, below is the original blog post as it was written (with a few minor corrections that were bugging me) and you can see my little experimentation by hitting play.   *****   I was browsing the TM forum the other day when I saw that someone had asked a question regarding the effect of the KO bounty in the KO SnG’s on Stars and if he needed to adjust his strategy when playing KO’s vs regular SnG’s.   I quickly replied that the short answer was yes.  The bounty for the KO gives stacks that cover you more incentive to call and thus they SHOULD be calling you wider.  This also implies that you should tend to call a little wider as well when you have someone covered.  But the extent of my thinking had been “If it’s close, call because of the bounty”.   That changed when another poster asked, “how does the bounty change your EQ of the tournament?  because winning a KO in the early phase is not the same that winning it on the bubble.”   Crap.  Now I have to think.  *sighs*   Then it dawned on me that someone probably has already done the heaving lifting in how to model the effect of the bounty.   TO THE CLOUD!                     Sure enough some had worked out how to figure out the equity.  Like my personal hero always says:                           So, with a big ole tip of the hat to statmanhal over at =4, we’re going to take a look at the effects of the bounty in a couple of scenarios and see what we can see about the effect on the bounty.   Case 1:   It’s the first hand of a $5.50 non-turbo SnG ($5 to the prize pool and $.50 rake) and you’re in the BB.  Blinds are at 10/20 and it’s folded to the SB who open shoves for 1500 chips.   Now let’s assume that the SB is someone that we are friendly with and frequently discuss strategy.  He’s a cheeky little monkey with a strong sense of whimsy and has told us that if the...

Read More

The Problem with The Math of Holdem

The Problem with The Math of Holdem

I really do like Collin and Doug’s book The Math of Holdem.   I still haven’t finished it, but  that’s mostly cause I’m trying to read like 17 books at once and keep getting distracted.   But I do think it overlooked a very important, albeit recent, contribution to the world of mathematics and how it affects the poker world.   How can we poker players reasonably be expected to delve into the mysteries of the poker world without a thorough understanding of this equation?     I expect to see an addendum in the second printing.   *********   Feel free to bounce over to teammoshman.com to leave comments on the cross...

Read More

Vegas Vacation – Part 2

Vegas Vacation – Part 2

Golfing with Team Moshman   When we last left our intrepid hero, he was getting ready for an o’dark thirty tee time with a few Team Moshman people.   Wednesday was the long day.  Started at 5:30am so we could make it to Angel Park Golf course with enough time to hit a few balls on the range and be ready for our 6:50am tee time.  Now in the weeks leading up to the trip I spent hours on Skype with HotJenny314 talking about golf and how excited she was.  I later found out why.  She had NEVER played a full round before.   This was going to be fun.   Knocking the ball around at Angel Park   So the two of us, along with Simon and Louis headed over and teed off just before 7am.  As we were leaving the first tee, the group behind us had a player smoking a cigar.  Being the huge fan of smokey treats that I am, I ask what he was partaking.  Turns out it was a cigar from a local shop (the Las Vegas Cigar Company) and the owner was playing in the foursome.  He graciously offered me a cigar, which I light and smoked while playing the front 9.  It was an excellent cigar, and with the shop being located near the airport, I know where my first stop will be next time I’m in town.       Before I got out there Katie and I had talked and figured that a good plan would be for her to get an inexpensive starter set of clubs.  The thinking was that with club rental at one of the local courses it would only take a couple of rounds to “make up” the cost.  Even if it turns out that she didn’t like the game and playing she’d easily be able to sell them and not be out much.  The key thing was that she wanted them to be pink.  We did a little research and found her a pretty decent set for a reasonable price…and it was pink.     The biggest thing for me when playing is to make sure I’m having fun and enjoying the group I’m playing with.  I couldn’t have asked for a better three people to play with.  I do think Katie was a bit surprised when the cart lady came by and we got two Newcastles at 8:30am.  A good beer, a good cigar, good friends and great scenery…everything I love about golf.     The nice thing, as bad as we are at the game (I tend to score in the 120’s when I’m not counting all my...

Read More

Good Luck Katie and I’m Headed to Vegas

Good Luck Katie and I’m Headed to Vegas

cross posted at teammoshman.com   ******   My friend Katie is playing in the WSOP No Limit Shootout today.   For those not familiar with it, the shootout consists of dividing everyone into tables of 9 or 10 (not sure which) playing down till there is one winner.  Then those winners combine into tables and play down to one winner.  It’s kinda like The Highlander in that they keep repeating the process till there is only one.   It started at 12pm pacific time.   I sent her a text message at 12:23pm, “Have you won yet?”   29 minutes later she replied back, “haha I have a leggy image”   I’m assuming it’s cause she showed up Cake Style, but I have no idea what that had to do with the bluff she “had to show down” on the 2nd hand.   Anyway, good luck Katie.   *****   I finally got everything set up over at Merge to start playing again and have donked around in a few of the super turbos.  They play much faster than the supers at Full Tilt did, with a HUGE jump between levels 1 and 2 versus the more gradual jump at FT.  But with a bigger rakeback % and the ability to get more volume in more quickly, they could be fun.   *****   We’re less than 4 days away from me landing in Vegas for a week of sun, golf, a 51’s baseball game, hanging out with the TM people and, time permitting, poker.  I’m really looking forward to this trip and hope it’s even more fun than the last one.   Catch ya in a week or so.   *****   Any comments can be posted over this blog’s crosspost at the TeamMoshman...

Read More

Game Over People

Game Over People

I didn’t have much luck last time Collin ran a competition.  It was back in the Stox days and the person that could best describe what was going on in the SNGWiz chart below won a video analysis from the man himself.     I, of course, knew exactly what the situation was and posted my response.   “Thank you for finding the pictures of the first time someone tried to teach me to snowboard.”     After a few other people attempted to answer Collin posted:  “Haha I’m tempted to end the contest today and give it to the snowboarding guy.”   He wasn’t tempted enough.       But this time I have done it.  I’ve got this one in the bag.   I did make a slight change to the title, but only because I feel that this helps open up the book to a demographic that wouldn’t normally be inclined to pick up a math book.   And, of course, once my submission is declared victorious, I will be adding the obligatory card related items (chips, cards, suits, etc).   Now, without further ado…     ************   *addendum 03/18/2011   So after a few days I was able to go back and objectively look at my masterpiece and find a few things that needed tweaking.   First, the calculator clearly needs to be pink.   Second, everyone puts Aces on a cover.  This obviously needs a hand better than Aces.  And if that’s the case, there’s really only one choice, amirite?   I did consider using a female model for the new cover, but decided to stick with the original and just photoshop the new elements in.  The pros are that it would imply (WITHOUT EVEN OPENING THE BOOK) that this is a subject for all people (which it is) and that you don’t have to have a graduate degree from Cal Tech to be able to understand it.  Even if you are just a grad student at MIT you shouldn’t have any difficulty in understanding the material.  And, clearly, a female model would appeal to the “flatulence and genitals joke” crowd, thus increasing their demand for the book.   The cons is that it could be seen as pandering to the “flatulence and genitals jok”e crowd and could be seen as condescending to women.  I don’t know…maybe it would have been better.  I’m still open to changing it. Convince me.   *****   Cross posted at teammoshman.com where you can feel free to...

Read More
content top