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Basic Statistics, or What Are The Odds I’m Getting Super Powers.

By on Nov 21, 2013 in Featured, Poker | 0 comments

A friend of mine recently posted on Facebook: You know in movies, when they wash a spider down the drain and it crawls out from that little overflow hole at the top of the tub? That just happened while the girls were in the bath. Only in real life, it didn’t kill anyone or give them super powers.   She later admitted, in response to disappointment that she had flushed the spider: Next time I’ll give it a shot at a bite and we’ll find out if I live in a horror movie or a superhero movie. (Or the harrowing tale of two children being taken from their insane mother, who allowed spiders to bite them in hopes of super powers for them.)   and Super powers are more likely than poison anyway, right?   It was at this point I felt compelled to chime in. Being someone with a “mild superpower” I am uniquely qualified to answer this question. It’s 50/50. Either it...

We Don’t Need Their Scum

By on Aug 17, 2011 in Featured, Poker, Team Moshman | 0 comments

or:   How I learned to stop worrying and love the bounty.             *****   This is actually a repost of a blog I made earlier this year that somehow got lost in the innerwebz during the transition to  Rather than just do a simple repost of the initial blog, I decided to try something a little different with it.   So, below is the original blog post as it was written (with a few minor corrections that were bugging me) and you can see my little experimentation by hitting play.   *****   I was browsing the TM forum the other day when I saw that someone had asked a question regarding the effect of the KO bounty in the KO SnG’s on Stars and if he needed to adjust his strategy when playing KO’s vs regular SnG’s.   I quickly replied that the short answer was yes.  The bounty for the KO gives stacks that cover you more incentive to call and thus they SHOULD be calling you...

Good Luck Katie and I’m Headed to Vegas

By on Jun 8, 2011 in Featured, Poker, Team Moshman | 0 comments

cross posted at   ******   My friend Katie is playing in the WSOP No Limit Shootout today.   For those not familiar with it, the shootout consists of dividing everyone into tables of 9 or 10 (not sure which) playing down till there is one winner.  Then those winners combine into tables and play down to one winner.  It’s kinda like The Highlander in that they keep repeating the process till there is only one.   It started at 12pm pacific time.   I sent her a text message at 12:23pm, “Have you won yet?”   29 minutes later she replied back, “haha I have a leggy image”   I’m assuming it’s cause she showed up Cake Style, but I have no idea what that had to do with the bluff she “had to show down” on the 2nd hand.   Anyway, good luck Katie.   *****   I finally got everything set up over at Merge to start playing again and...

25/50 is just awkward sometimes: Revisited

By on Feb 22, 2010 in Poker, Team Moshman | 0 comments

Originally posted on ***** In a previous entry, we looked at an all-in decision one of my students faced during the 25/50 level of a DoN.   Here’s the hand in question:   PokerStars No-Limit Hold’em, 5.2 Tournament, 25/50 Blinds 5 Ante (9 handed) SB (t2595) BB (t1515) UTG (t1770) UTG+1 (t1435) MP1 (t1795) MP2 (t1450) MP3 (t1667) Hero (CO) (t1450) Button (t1323)   Hero’s M: 12.08   Preflop: Hero is CO with Xx Xx 5 folds, Hero bets t125, 2 folds, BB raises to t1510 (All-In),  Hero ??   He ended up folding his AQo to the shove (a correct decision given how tight the BB had been and his equity against the likely shove range) but ended up losing 125 chips in the process.   Often you’ll hear that it’s not worth going after the blinds early because there isn’t much there and it doesn’t add much to your bottom line.  But is that really the case?  So the question we need to ask...

I’d like to thank

By on Feb 2, 2010 in Featured, Poker, Team Moshman | 0 comments

              …every single math teacher I ever had.   Without you this Double or Nothing win would not have been possible.     To celebrate I’m going to Disneyland. Catch ya on the flip side.   *****   Originally posted at